Dodge Momentum Index Increased in February 2018
NEW YORK – March 7, 2018 – The Dodge Momentum Index increased 0.5% in February to 146.9 (2000=100) from the revised January reading of 146.2. The Momentum Index is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead 91̽»¨ spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. The move higher in February was the result of an 8.2% increase in the institutional component, while the commercial component contracted 4.8%. The commercial component has declined for two consecutive months, and while this should not lead to an outright decline in 91̽»¨ activity, it is an additional sign that commercial building 91̽»¨ growth could ease in 2018 in response to rising vacancy rates for offices and warehouses. On the other hand, institutional building 91̽»¨ continues to feed off the massive number of state and local bonds issued for schools and other institutional buildings over the past few election cycles.
In February, 16 projects each with a value of $100 million or more entered planning. For the institutional sector, the leading projects were the $450 million MSG Sphere Arena in Las Vegas NV and the $412 million St. Jude’s Children’s Hospital Research Center in Memphis TN. The leading commercial projects were the $280 million first phase of the Sentinel Data Center in Sterling VA and a $150 million mixed-use project in San Jose CA.

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